Rising Stars Now Eclipsed By Fallen Angels, Article Says

Thursday 13 November 2008 09:19
Globally, the number of issuers poised to migrate up the credit spectrum decreased to 14 issuers, one less than last month's count and two higher than the 48-month low of 12 issuers in July, said an article published today by Standard & Poor's.

Global potential rising stars are defined as entities that are rated 'BB+' with either a positive outlook or with ratings on CreditWatch with positive implications.

Meanwhile, the count of entities about to cross over in the opposite direction (potential fallen angels) is elevated at 57 issuers, unsurprising given crossover credits' generally corroborative relationship with the broader economy.

The two new rising stars added since last month bring the year-to-date total for rising stars to 38 issuers, affecting debt worth US$168.88 (?132.06) billion, more than one-third of which is attributed to the change in the sovereign rating on the Federative Republic of Brazil. This compares with a tally of 36 issuers this past year, with total rated debt worth US$71.81 (?56.11) billion, according to the article, titled "Global Potential Rising Stars (Premium)." Current potential rising stars constitute US$11.49 (?8.98) billion in rated debt.

"Fallen angels exceed rising stars by a margin of four," said Diane Vazza, head of Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income Research Group. "And the volatility in the credit markets, coupled with overall downward pressure, especially noted by the sharp decline in potential rising stars and general malaise regarding global economic and credit circumstances, supports our belief that crossover credit quality is more strongly poised for credit deterioration rather than improvement."

RatingsDirect is the real-time Web-based source for Standard & Poor's credit ratings, research, and risk analysis, at www.ratingsdirect.com. The standard version of this article is part of our standard Global Fixed Income Research content. The premium version contains expanded analysis of the article's most significant points, typically broken out by sector and region. Also in the premium version are in-depth charts and tables, the underlying data of which are available for download. Ratings information can also be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at www.standardandpoors.com; under Credit Ratings in the left navigation bar, select Find a Rating, then Credit Ratings Search. Members of the media may request a copy of this report by contacting the media representative provided.

Media Contact:

David Wargin, New York (1) 212-438-1579, [email protected]

Analyst Contacts:

Diane Vazza, New York (1) 212-438-2760